ModernityBlog

“Nearly all men can stand adversity, but if you want to test a man’s character, give him power.” Abraham Lincoln

The Oldham By-Election.

with 5 comments

I don’t normally cover British by-elections but yesterday’s one in Oldham East and Saddleworth is somewhat noteworthy as a barometer of political contentment.

Obviously Labour won, as you would expect them to, with an increased majority, but that’s not the full story.

This is my breakdown of the result:

The useless (Labour): 14,718 (42.14%, +10.27%)

The unprincipled scumbags (LibDems): 11,160 (31.95%, +0.32%)

The slash and burn party (Tories): 4,481 (12.83%, -13.62%)

The “we hate Europe, but like the gravy train” party (UKIP): 2,029 (5.81%, +1.95%)

The Neofascist nucklescrapers (BNP): 1,560 (4.47%, -1.25%)

Plus others. Electorate 72,788; Turnout 34,930 (47.99%, -13.19%)

Previously, 2010: Lab maj 103 (0.23%) – Turnout 44,520 (61.18%)
Woolas (Lab) 14,186 (31.86%); Watkins (LD) 14,083 (31.63%); Ali (C)
11,773 (26.44%); Stott (BNP) 2,546 (5.72%); Bentley (UKIP) 1,720
(3.86%); Nazir (Ch P) 212 (0.48%)

I think what is notable is how the LibDems have still kept a large chunk of their votes, which shows you how gullible some people are.

The Tories did badly, but not as bad as they should have.

The useless Labour Party should have swept the floor with all of them, yet under the pitiful leadership of Ed Miliband they can’t even do that.

The dregs of New Labour which are running that party now must go down as some of the biggest political incompetents in the last 111 years.

When the voters look between the Tories, Lib Dems and the Labour Party they don’t see much difference, rather grey men in suits, echoing similar arguments and certainly nothing moderately radical coming from the Labour Party. They can’t even muster weak-willed social democracy or a competent defence of the welfare state, that’s how pathetic they are.

Surprisingly, the BNP, although their vote is down, achieved over 10% of the Labour polled votes which is deeply depressing, and a bit worrying.

Still, on the bright side that bigot and racist, Phil Woolas was kicked out, some consolation.

Update 1: My previous stuff on Woolas.

Written by modernityblog

14/01/2011 at 04:00

5 Responses

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  1. I haven’t crunched the numbers myself, but there’s some talk that Tory supporters may have tactically voted for the Lib Dems which would explain why their vote hasn’t collapsed.

    Waterloo Sunset

    15/01/2011 at 02:24

  2. WS,

    Makes sense now you suggest it. Tories, LibDems, Tories, not much in it.

    I wonder what will happen when the Tory/Libdems cuts *really* kick in?

    I think the funny thing I found, is how uncritical ‘lefty’ Labour blogs (a lot of ex-Trots too) are of Ed Miliband.

    All politics aside, he’s useless as a figurehead or a political leader, like a New Labour version of John Major… not that you’ll hear that else where.

    modernity

    15/01/2011 at 02:32

  3. The fact you missed the obvious that many Tories tactically voted Lib Dem compared to May 2010 and quite a few Lib Demvoters from the General Election voted Labour this time makes me think you are wise not cover by-elections usually.

    Useless parties don’t usually increase their share of the vote by 10% after their previous MP was forced out by lying. 42% is similar to what they got in 1997 and 2005 albeit on slightly less favourable boundaries.

    PJD

    16/01/2011 at 19:17

  4. I am definitely not wise, even known to be foolish on many occasions.

    But then who is the bigger fool? The fool or the fool that listens to him🙂

    modernity

    17/01/2011 at 00:24

  5. Thanks for the reminder of the corrupt, opportunist and witlessly crude racism that was the starting point for this by-election. A government minister at that.

    Owen

    18/01/2011 at 11:32


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