Posts Tagged ‘NATO’
The open complacency amongst Western leaders when faced with the siege of Misrata should be shocking to us, but it isn’t.
The West and NATO have shown how useless they are at protecting Libyan civilians, how uncoordinated their actions are and why Gaddafi’s murder of Libyans must be stopped.
Gaddafi has no compunction when it comes to murdering Libyans as he’s already done by the hundreds and thousands, and will kill as many as necessary to stay in power, that is the nature of this dictator and his grubby sons.
In many ways the West learnt very little from the conflict in the Balkans, invariably acting too late and with too little determination.
So if the West is truly serious about saving Libyans then concerted action needs to be taken at Misrata. Without delay.
In a few years’ time the conflict in Libya will take on its own myths, why certain things happened and how, etc etc
So now it is good to remember what Gaddafi and his sons were intent on doing should the Libyan people revolt: kill civilians.
“In The Hague on Tuesday, Mr Moreno-Ocampo said: “We have evidence that after the Tunisia and Egypt conflicts in January, people in the regime were planning how to control demonstrations inside Libya.
“The planning at the beginning was to use tear gas and [if that failed to work]… shooting,” he told Reuters.
Doctors said last week that at least 200 people had been killed there since the uprising began on 17 February – a figure likely to have risen in recent days. “
In relationship to Afghanistan I asked the question what are the possible outcomes of a precipitous withdraw of NATO troops?
Few people like answering it, but here’s a fair summary of possible events, not comfortable reading:
“The Nineties Afghan Civil War on Steroids:
Even if the international community gave up on Afghanistan and withdrew, as it did from Somalia during the early nineties, it is inconceivable that the Taliban could triumph in the country completely and provide a regime (however perverse) of stability.
About half of Afghanistan’s population is non-Pashtun, from where the Taliban draw their strenth, and most of that non-Pashtun population is ardently anti-Taliban. In the humiliating circumstances that would attend American failure, those in the West who now promote “counterterrorism,” “realist,” and “cost-effective” strategies in the region would probably endorse, in effect, a nineties redux—which would amount to a prescription for more Afghan civil war.
A rump “legitimate” Afghan government dominated by ethnic Tajiks and Uzbeks would find arms and money from India, Iran, and perhaps Russia, Europe and the United States. This would likely produce a long-running civil war between northern, Tajik-dominated ethnic militias and the Pashtun-dominated Taliban.
Tens of thousands of Afghans would likely perish in this conflict and from the pervasive poverty it would produce; many more Afghans would return as refugees to Pakistan, contributing to that country’s instability.”